Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Iowa State Cyclones predictions, picks for Saturday 9/6/25

 The 2025 Cy-Hawk rivalry game is upon us, with the Iowa Hawkeyes traveling to Ames to take on the No. 16 Iowa State Cyclones. This annual in-state showdown is known for its intensity, unpredictable outcomes, and a style of play that often favors defense. Both teams are undefeated, and the winner will not only claim bragging rights but also a significant boost in the national rankings.



Iowa State, coming off a 2-0 start that includes a Week 0 upset over Kansas State, enters the game as a 3.5-point favorite. The Cyclones are led by a dynamic offense and a veteran quarterback in Rocco Becht. He was instrumental in last year's victory over the Hawkeyes and has been in top form to start the 2025 season. The Cyclones' ability to generate explosive plays, particularly through the air, will be a major test for Iowa's vaunted defense.

On the other side of the ball, Iowa's identity remains its dominant defense and a smash-mouth running game. New quarterback Mark Gronowski struggled in his debut, but the Hawkeyes' offensive line was superb, paving the way for over 300 rushing yards. Iowa will look to establish the run and control the clock, keeping Becht and the Iowa State offense off the field. The Hawkeyes have a history of success in Ames, winning their last six games there, and the road team has won the last five matchups in this series.



Prediction and Picks:

This game is a classic clash of styles: Iowa's defense and ground game against Iowa State's explosive offense. The betting line of Iowa State -3.5 suggests a close contest, and history supports that. The rivalry has been defined by low-scoring affairs, and the over/under of 42.5 points reflects that expectation.

While Iowa's defense is a constant, the question marks around their passing game are a major concern. If Iowa State can force the Hawkeyes into third-and-long situations, it could be a long day for the Iowa offense. However, Iowa's defense is more than capable of creating turnovers and putting their team in a position to win. The Hawkeyes are a strong pick to cover the spread, and this game is likely to be another defensive slugfest decided by a single possession.

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